Following the confirmed passing of Pope Francis at the age of 88, speculation has intensified about who will become the next leader of the Roman Catholic Church. The conclave, a secretive assembly of cardinals, will soon convene to elect the new pope, but predicting the outcome remains notoriously difficult. An old Italian proverb cautions: “He enters a conclave as pope, departs as a cardinal.”
Below are nine prominent cardinals widely discussed as possible successors, each bringing unique backgrounds and qualities to the role:
1. Cardinal Jean-Marc Aveline (France, 66)
Archbishop of Marseille, Aveline is noted for his approachable style, humor, and progressive views on immigration and interfaith relations. Dubbed “John XXIV” by French media, he is seen as a reformist in the mold of Pope John XXIII. Born in Algeria to Spanish immigrants, Aveline’s multicultural background and theological scholarship stand out, though his limited Italian fluency could be a challenge.
2. Cardinal Peter Erdő (Hungary, 72)
Seen as a potential compromise candidate, Erdő bridges conservative and moderate factions. He has strong ties across Europe and Africa and played a key role in the New Evangelisation initiative. While conservative on theology, he has avoided direct confrontation with Francis. Erdő’s multilingual skills and diplomatic experience could help mend Catholic-Orthodox relations.
3. Cardinal Mario Grech (Malta, 68)
Secretary General of the Synod of Bishops, Grech has evolved from conservative roots to champion many of Francis’ reforms. Advocating for greater acceptance of LGBT individuals, he emphasizes consensus-building. His high-profile Vatican role and progressive stance make him a notable candidate.
4. Cardinal Juan José Omella (Spain, 79)
Archbishop of Barcelona, Omella embodies Francis’ values of humility, social justice, and inclusiveness. With extensive pastoral and missionary experience, he has been vocal about accountability in the Church’s abuse scandals. His leadership in Spain’s bishops’ conference and role on Francis’ council of cardinals bolster his profile.
5. Cardinal Pietro Parolin (Italy, 70)
The Vatican Secretary of State since 2013, Parolin is a favored middle-ground candidate with vast diplomatic experience. Known for his gentle demeanor and multilingualism, he could restore an Italian pope after three non-Italians. Though less vocal on cultural debates, his diplomatic skills are highly regarded.
6. Cardinal Luis Antonio Gokim Tagle (Philippines, 67)
Often called the “Asian Francis,” Tagle has extensive pastoral and missionary experience. He heads the Dicastery for Evangelisation and previously led Caritas Internationalis. Despite a recent controversy involving the charity, his social justice commitment and large Asian Catholic base make him a significant contender.
7. Cardinal Joseph Tobin (USA, 72)
Archbishop of Newark, Tobin is known for his transparency and progressive stance on LGBT issues. A former Redemptorist leader with international experience, he speaks multiple languages. While an American pope is considered unlikely, Tobin’s leadership during scandals has earned him respect.
8. Cardinal Peter Kodwo Appiah Turkson (Ghana, 76)
A leading figure from sub-Saharan Africa, Turkson has extensive pastoral and Vatican leadership experience. He has advised on social justice and climate issues and is known for his effective communication. Though he has expressed willingness for others to lead, his media presence fuels speculation about papal ambitions.
9. Cardinal Matteo Maria Zuppi (Italy, 69)
Archbishop of Bologna, Zuppi is known as the “Italian Bergoglio” for his grassroots approach and focus on migrants and marginalized communities. He has played key roles in peace initiatives and Vatican diplomacy. His election would mark a return to an Italian pope, though some conservatives may view his progressive record skeptically.
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As the Catholic world mourns Pope Francis, the upcoming conclave will weigh these candidates’ theological views, pastoral experience, diplomatic skills, and ability to unite a global Church facing numerous challenges. The choice will shape the direction of Catholicism for years to come.
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